The next morning.
When Li Dong closed his laptop, the sky outside was already starting to brighten.
Scraps of draft paper were scattered all over the floor. He rubbed his throbbing temples and glanced at the bottom-right corner of his screen.
The progress bar above Xiaohai’s head had reached [0.18].
[Master, one million, nine hundred and sixty thousand entries, all devoured. *Hiccup*...]
Li Dong chuckled and typed on his keyboard.
[How many were real signals?]
[Eighty-six thousand, three hundred and ninety-two. The rest were all Illusion Peaks.]
Li Dong nodded.
[Xiaohai, load yesterday’s script. Apply the second-layer filter.]
[In the dozen or so TeV energy bands, find events with a shape matching the AD 774/5 extrapolation, and keep the χ2/d.o.f. under 1.1.]
Without another word, Xiaohai started hopping and bouncing again.
Twenty seconds later, a line of text popped up.
[Master, I’ve picked them out. Eleven events in total.]
Li Dong’s mouth twitched.
Eleven events.
It was exactly the same number he had extrapolated last night from the thirty-seven "pending review" events!
If last night’s result was weak evidence, then this—a result run on the full eight years of data from the Wukong Satellite—was strong evidence.
Taking a deep breath, Li Dong knew he had passed the first hurdle.
Now came the truly difficult part.
He needed to confirm if the eighteen-month, Carrington Level event window was correct. He even wanted to deduce the timing for a Miyake Level event as well.
He pulled out a stack of blank draft paper from under his desk.
Li Dong didn’t even bother waiting for the approval from Jinling University’s Supercomputing Center.
The path he was taking had little to do with computing power.
He laid out the time nodes of the eleven real signals again.
But the sample size was still too small. A traditional Fourier transform couldn’t achieve the necessary frequency resolution.
So he quickly scribbled a line on the paper.
[Lomb-Scargle Periodogram]
The Lomb-Scargle periodogram.
It was an old trick of the trade in the astronomy community, specifically for dealing with "unevenly sampled time series," independently proposed by two different astronomers fifty years ago.
It doesn’t require evenly spaced data points; instead, it performs a direct least-squares fit in the frequency domain.
Small sample sizes, uneven intervals, and signals buried in noise—these three things were an astronomer’s worst nightmare.
And the Lomb-Scargle periodogram was tailor-made for these three problems.
Li Dong picked up his pen and began to reverse-calculate the frequency.
T?≈ 73.4 days.
In other words, if there was a clock hidden behind these eleven events, it ticked once every seventy-three days.
This corresponded to the frequency at which external high-energy particles struck the potential barrier within a single pendulum period, deep inside the sun’s immense magnetic potential well.
It couldn’t directly tell him when the main peak would erupt.
But by layering on one more thing, the "excitation probability" of the main peak itself could be reverse-engineered.
And that thing was...
Gamov’s quantum tunneling decay framework.
It needed a few modifications, though...
The intranuclear potential well became the "solar magnetic potential well," alpha particles became "high-energy flare outflow flux"... Li Dong was on his draft paper, modding the differential equations.
The amplitude-increase curve of the eleven events was plugged into the equation, and the MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) algorithm instantly completed fifty thousand sampling steps.
The mean of the posterior distribution was finally pinned down to a single coordinate.
[Main Peak Arrival Window: T? + 18.3 months (± 2.4 months)]
[Magnitude: Carrington Level]
[Posterior Confidence: 78.6%]
It was almost identical to last night’s result, but this time, it was far more credible.
Just then, his phone, which was on the desk, suddenly buzzed. It was an unknown number.
"Is this Teacher Li Dong? I’m from the Jinling University Supercomputing Center. Your application for the large-scale backtesting node has been approved. It’s a full-spec A100. When would you like to come and set up the account?"
Li Dong paused, glancing at Xiaohai in the bottom-right corner of his screen, who was letting out a satisfied burp.
"There’s no need, sir," Li Dong said with a smile.
"The plan has changed. You can give the node to the next person in line. I’m already done."
The other end of the line fell strangely silent.
’Two million entries of full data, and you finished in less than a day? What did you run it on? An abacus?’
Before the person on the other end could snap out of it, Li Dong hung up.
Draft paper began to scatter to every corner of the room—the desk, the floor...
Li Dong had to narrow down that ±2.4-month window even further!
He started incorporating the "pending review" anomaly emails from the Yangbajing Observatory from the past three years.
Three codirectional events were added to the MCMC!
The confidence level shot up to 83.4%! The window narrowed to ±1.9 months!
Then he incorporated the monthly reports on TeV-level cosmic rays from the LHAASO observatory.
The confidence level was pushed to 86.7%! The window was locked down to ±1.5 months!
Li Dong maxed out all his Basic Attributes, entering a state of complete Concentration, a state of "piercing through to the truth."
Day turned to night and back to day. He blocked out every sound and movement from the outside world.
In his world, only the "clock" that had been ticking above the Earth for eight years remained.
Piece by piece, he was forcibly clawing the countdown to Death’s knock out of the universe’s noise.
「Two days later.」
A high-rise apartment in Jinling.
CLICK. A spare key turned in the lock of the security door.
Shen Che and Zhang Wenping walked in, their brows furrowed.
The room smelled a little musty.
In front of the desk, a figure was buried in a pile of draft paper that nearly engulfed him.
"Li Dong?"
Li Dong didn’t respond.
The two walked over to him, and Shen Che patted his shoulder.
Li Dong flinched violently, then slowly raised his head.
"Teacher Shen... Teacher Zhang..."
His voice was raspy.
"You haven’t even answered your phone for two days, just to calculate this?"
Zhang Wenping looked at the draft paper covering the floor, not knowing whether to be angry or amused.
GROWL...
Li Dong’s stomach suddenly rumbled, and he said, a little embarrassed.
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My Study Chat Group Is Full of Real Big Shots — Chapters
1
Chapter 1
2
Chapter 2
3
Chapter 3
4
Chapter 4
5
Chapter 5
6
Chapter 6
7
Chapter 7
8
Chapter 8
9
Chapter 9
10
Chapter 10
11
Chapter 11
12
Chapter 12
13
Chapter 13
14
Chapter 14
15
Chapter 15
16
Chapter 16
17
Chapter 17
18
Chapter 18
19
Chapter 19
20
Chapter 20
21
Chapter 21
22
Chapter 22
23
Chapter 23
24
Chapter 24
25
Chapter 25
26
Chapter 26
27
Chapter 27
28
Chapter 28
29
Chapter 29
30
Chapter 30
31
Chapter 31
32
Chapter 32
33
Chapter 33
34
Chapter 34
35
Chapter 35
36
Chapter 36
37
Chapter 37
38
Chapter 38
39
Chapter 39
40
Chapter 40
41
Chapter 41
42
Chapter 42
43
Chapter 43
44
Chapter 44
45
Chapter 45
46
Chapter 46
47
Chapter 47
48
Chapter 48
49
Chapter 49
50
Chapter 50
51
Chapter 51
52
Chapter 52
53
Chapter 53
54
Chapter 54
55
Chapter 55
56
Chapter 56
57
Chapter 57
58
Chapter 58
59
Chapter 59
60
Chapter 60
61
Chapter 61
62
Chapter 62
63
Chapter 63
64
Chapter 64
65
Chapter 65
66
Chapter 66
67
Chapter 67
68
Chapter 68
69
Chapter 69
70
Chapter 70
71
Chapter 71
72
Chapter 72
73
Chapter 73
74
Chapter 74
75
Chapter 75
76
Chapter 76
77
Chapter 77
78
Chapter 78
79
Chapter 79
80
Chapter 80
81
Chapter 81
82
Chapter 82
83
Chapter 83
84
Chapter 84
85
Chapter 85
86
Chapter 86
87
Chapter 87
88
Chapter 88
89
Chapter 89
90
Chapter 90
91
Chapter 91
92
Chapter 92
93
Chapter 93
94
Chapter 94
95
Chapter 95
96
Chapter 96
97
Chapter 97
98
Chapter 98
99
Chapter 99
100
Chapter 100
101
Chapter 101
102
Chapter 102
103
Chapter 103
104
Chapter 104
105
Chapter 105
106
Chapter 106
107
Chapter 107
108
Chapter 108
109
Chapter 109
110
Chapter 110
111
Chapter 111
112
Chapter 112
113
Chapter 113
114
Chapter 114
115
Chapter 115
116
Chapter 116
117
Chapter 117
118
Chapter 118
119
Chapter 119
120
Chapter 120
121
Chapter 121
122
Chapter 122
123
Chapter 123
124
Chapter 124
125
Chapter 125
126
Chapter 126
127
Chapter 127
128
Chapter 128
129
Chapter 129
130
Chapter 130
131
Chapter 131
132
Chapter 132
133
Chapter 133
134
Chapter 134
135
Chapter 135
136
Chapter 136
137
Chapter 137
138
Chapter 138
139
Chapter 139
140
Chapter 140
141
Chapter 141
142
Chapter 142
143
Chapter 143
144
Chapter 144
145
Chapter 145
146
Chapter 146
147
Chapter 147
148
Chapter 148
149
Chapter 149
150
Chapter 150
151
Chapter 151
152
Chapter 152
153
Chapter 153
154
Chapter 154
155
Chapter 155
156
Chapter 156
157
Chapter 157
158
Chapter 158
159
Chapter 159
160
Chapter 160
161
Chapter 161
162
Chapter 162
163
Chapter 163
164
Chapter 164
165
Chapter 165
166
Chapter 166
167
Chapter 167
168
Chapter 168
169
Chapter 169
170
Chapter 170
171
Chapter 171
172
Chapter 172
173
Chapter 173
174
Chapter 174
175
Chapter 175
176
Chapter 176
177
Chapter 177
178
Chapter 178
179
Chapter 179
180
Chapter 180
181
Chapter 181
182
Chapter 182
183
Chapter 183
184
Chapter 184
185
Chapter 185
186
Chapter 186
187
Chapter 187
188
Chapter 188
189
Chapter 189
190
Chapter 190
191
Chapter 191
192
Chapter 192
193
Chapter 193
194
Chapter 194
195
Chapter 195
196
Chapter 196
197
Chapter 197
198
Chapter 198
199
Chapter 199
200
Chapter 200
201
Chapter 201
202
Chapter 202
203
Chapter 203
204
Chapter 204
205
Chapter 205
206
Chapter 206
207
Chapter 207
208
Chapter 208
209
Chapter 209
210
Chapter 210
211
Chapter 211
212
Chapter 212
213
Chapter 213
214
Chapter 214
215
Chapter 215
216
Chapter 216
220
Chapter 220
222
Chapter 222
223
Chapter 223
224
Chapter 224
225
Chapter 225
226
Chapter 226
227
Chapter 227
228
Chapter 228
229
Chapter 229
230
Chapter 230
231
Chapter 231
232
Chapter 232
233
Chapter 233
234
Chapter 234
235
Chapter 235
236
Chapter 236
237
Chapter 237
238
Chapter 238
239
Chapter 239
240
Chapter 240
241
Chapter 241
242
Chapter 242
243
Chapter 243
244
Chapter 244
245
Chapter 245
246
Chapter 246
247
Chapter 247
248
Chapter 248
249
Chapter 249
250
Chapter 250
251
Chapter 251
252
Chapter 252
253
Chapter 253
254
Chapter 254
255
Chapter 255
256
Chapter 256
257
Chapter 257
258
Chapter 258
259
Chapter 259
260
Chapter 260
261
Chapter 261
262
Chapter 262
263
Chapter 263
264
Chapter 264
265
Chapter 265
266
Chapter 266
267
Chapter 267
268
Chapter 268
269
Chapter 269
270
Chapter 270
271
Chapter 271
272
Chapter 272
273
Chapter 273
274
Chapter 274
275
Chapter 275
276
Chapter 276
277
Chapter 277
278
Chapter 278
279
Chapter 279
280
Chapter 280
281
Chapter 281
282
Chapter 282
283
Chapter 283
284
Chapter 284
285
Chapter 285
286
Chapter 286
287
Chapter 287
288
Chapter 288
289
Chapter 289
290
Chapter 290
291
Chapter 291
292
Chapter 292
293
Chapter 293
294
Chapter 294
295
Chapter 295
296
Chapter 296
297
Chapter 297
298
Chapter 298
299
Chapter 299
300
Chapter 300
301
Chapter 301
302
Chapter 302
303
Chapter 303
304
Chapter 304
305
Chapter 305
306
Chapter 306
307
Chapter 307
308
Chapter 308
309
Chapter 309
310
Chapter 310
311
Chapter 311
312
Chapter 312
313
Chapter 313
314
Chapter 314
315
Chapter 315
316
Chapter 316
317
Chapter 317
318
Chapter 318
319
Chapter 319
320
Chapter 320
321
Chapter 321
322
Chapter 322
323
Chapter 323
324
Chapter 324
325
Chapter 325
326
Chapter 326
327
Chapter 327
328
Chapter 328
329
Chapter 329
330
Chapter 330
331
Chapter 331
332
Chapter 332
333
Chapter 333
334
Chapter 334
335
Chapter 335
336
Chapter 336
337
Chapter 337
338
Chapter 338
339
Chapter 339
340
Chapter 340
341
Chapter 341
342
Chapter 342
343
Chapter 343
344
Chapter 344
345
Chapter 345
346
Chapter 346
347
Chapter 347
348
Chapter 348
349
Chapter 349
350
Chapter 350
351
Chapter 351
352
Chapter 352
353
Chapter 353
354
Chapter 354
355
Chapter 355
356
Chapter 356
357
Chapter 357
358
Chapter 358
359
Chapter 359
360
Chapter 360
361
Chapter 361
362
Chapter 362
363
Chapter 363
364
Chapter 364
365
Chapter 365
366
Chapter 366
367
Chapter 367
368
Chapter 368
369
Chapter 369
370
Chapter 370
371
Chapter 371
372
Chapter 372
373
Chapter 373
374
Chapter 374
375
Chapter 375
376
Chapter 376
377
Chapter 377
378
Chapter 378
379
Chapter 379
380
Chapter 380
381
Chapter 381
382
Chapter 382
383
Chapter 383
384
Chapter 384
385
Chapter 385
386
Chapter 386
387
Chapter 387
388
Chapter 388
389
Chapter 389
390
Chapter 390
391
Chapter 391
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